Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 981.008793 1115.409844 1266.547346 1450.078818 1668.233517 1920.884283 2237.998556
2025-05-04 786.999723 963.051896 1180.572893 1473.144907 1862.675786 2372.702102 3106.853336
2025-05-11 684.573299 876.330043 1127.583020 1488.563282 2007.050891 2746.472001 3922.753107
2025-05-18 625.712968 831.457213 1114.645612 1545.234812 2206.549786 3225.972064 5008.635710
2025-05-25 572.290777 783.890339 1087.151190 1570.687203 2357.234595 3655.805455 6131.624803
2025-06-01 522.941650 734.594118 1048.392354 1569.428137 2460.460328 4024.407506 7253.414438
2025-06-08 480.903136 690.527915 1010.693989 1561.824915 2548.013534 4379.921455 8460.792770
2025-06-15 454.034906 666.150744 999.785740 1595.261912 2711.230447 4910.414003 10226.344774
2025-06-22 414.529326 617.787030 944.433453 1543.258280 2705.175153 5100.940756 11276.844888
2025-06-29 381.717304 577.111135 897.398961 1499.383720 2706.306631 5305.166580 12441.298981
2025-07-06 351.704597 538.448155 849.924080 1448.416917 2684.069887 5451.905734 13512.446975
2025-07-13 341.323428 531.543521 856.444466 1500.054893 2884.521872 6164.902798 16576.572742
2025-07-20 325.033251 513.995869 843.755387 1515.453294 3016.415813 6767.098911 19716.450609
2025-07-27 311.198043 499.686235 835.764350 1539.911509 3176.084913 7498.777620 23845.782646
2025-08-03 297.691377 484.702947 824.787839 1556.200966 3319.316212 8232.919936 28571.952764
2025-08-10 290.505279 480.445811 833.618586 1616.138861 3584.268596 9426.314296 36442.802138
2025-08-17 280.118257 469.393497 828.006543 1643.067549 3769.949286 10446.298448 44645.496011
2025-08-24 267.641128 453.447588 811.099593 1641.735332 3878.989441 11254.546649 52715.928939
2025-08-31 255.538034 437.330751 792.386304 1633.690449 3968.002201 12032.174486 61726.426783
2025-09-07 248.408287 430.269176 791.697239 1669.073929 4193.432748 13437.381256 77598.099280
2025-09-14 233.804612 407.612217 756.311923 1614.047698 4131.802535 13657.932490 84508.230278
2025-09-21 221.033249 387.838089 725.646878 1567.643747 4089.553189 13954.796716 92830.785979
2025-09-28 208.555229 367.959672 693.383265 1513.763057 4014.147301 14084.478135 99996.358084